E-ISSN 2705-3954 | ISSN 0794-4756
 

Original Article 


Prediction and Simulation of Kainji Hydropower Reservoir Operation in Nigeria

Abdulrasaq Apalando Mohammed , Bolaji Fatai Sule , Adebayo Wahab Salami, Adeniyi Ganiyu Adeogun, Ayanniyi Mufutau Ayanshola , Akinola Sunday Oladeji.

Abstract
Inflow into the Kainji hydropower reservoir was predicted from year 2017 to 2050 using historical inflow data and Markov model. Statistical parameters were used to evaluate the predicted model. Basic hydropower equation and operational constraints were used to simulate future generation at the station considering various percentage of water stored in the reservoir as ecological flow release (EFR). Results revealed that the Markov model predicted the inflow perfectly with correlation coefficient (r), mean absolute error (MAE), relative bias (RB) and coefficient of determination (R2) of: 0.99, 0.10, 0.002 and 0.98 respectively. Total simulated annual energy generation decrease with increase in EFR percentages. It was also noticed that the simulated energy generation is higher than the actual energy generation for all the scenarios. The results of this work can be used by the management of the Kainji hydropower station for future planning of their generation.

Key words: Energy Generation, Hydropower reservoir, Inflow, Simulation, Prediction


 
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How to Cite this Article
Pubmed Style

AAM, BFS, Salami AW, Adeogun AG, AMA, Oladeji AS, . Prediction and Simulation of Kainji Hydropower Reservoir Operation in Nigeria. NJE. 2022; 29(1): 29-35.


Web Style

AAM, BFS, Salami AW, Adeogun AG, AMA, Oladeji AS, . Prediction and Simulation of Kainji Hydropower Reservoir Operation in Nigeria. https://www.njeabu.com.ng/?mno=103241 [Access: November 03, 2022].


AMA (American Medical Association) Style

AAM, BFS, Salami AW, Adeogun AG, AMA, Oladeji AS, . Prediction and Simulation of Kainji Hydropower Reservoir Operation in Nigeria. NJE. 2022; 29(1): 29-35.



Vancouver/ICMJE Style

AAM, BFS, Salami AW, Adeogun AG, AMA, Oladeji AS, . Prediction and Simulation of Kainji Hydropower Reservoir Operation in Nigeria. NJE. (2022), [cited November 03, 2022]; 29(1): 29-35.



Harvard Style

, A. A. M., , B. F. S., Salami, A. W., Adeogun, A. G., , A. M. A., Oladeji, A. S. & (2022) Prediction and Simulation of Kainji Hydropower Reservoir Operation in Nigeria. NJE, 29 (1), 29-35.



Turabian Style

, Abdulrasaq Apalando Mohammed, Bolaji Fatai Sule, Adebayo Wahab Salami, Adeniyi Ganiyu Adeogun, Ayanniyi Mufutau Ayanshola, Akinola Sunday Oladeji, and . 2022. Prediction and Simulation of Kainji Hydropower Reservoir Operation in Nigeria. Nigerian Journal of Engineering, 29 (1), 29-35.



Chicago Style

, Abdulrasaq Apalando Mohammed, Bolaji Fatai Sule, Adebayo Wahab Salami, Adeniyi Ganiyu Adeogun, Ayanniyi Mufutau Ayanshola, Akinola Sunday Oladeji, and . "Prediction and Simulation of Kainji Hydropower Reservoir Operation in Nigeria." Nigerian Journal of Engineering 29 (2022), 29-35.



MLA (The Modern Language Association) Style

, Abdulrasaq Apalando Mohammed, Bolaji Fatai Sule, Adebayo Wahab Salami, Adeniyi Ganiyu Adeogun, Ayanniyi Mufutau Ayanshola, Akinola Sunday Oladeji, and . "Prediction and Simulation of Kainji Hydropower Reservoir Operation in Nigeria." Nigerian Journal of Engineering 29.1 (2022), 29-35. Print.



APA (American Psychological Association) Style

, A. A. M., , B. F. S., Salami, A. W., Adeogun, A. G., , A. M. A., Oladeji, A. S. & (2022) Prediction and Simulation of Kainji Hydropower Reservoir Operation in Nigeria. Nigerian Journal of Engineering, 29 (1), 29-35.